When I suggest that most institutions of higher education are in trouble, I am in good company. Many people say
the same thing, and most point to the remarkably rapid emergence of very low
cost alternatives for earning credits, especially in the lucrative area of
general education, as well as alternative ways of certifying learning that tie
to the needs of employers.
For example, at StraighterLine, one can earn a full year of
general education credits for about $1000, and those credits will transfer to
many institutions. Companies, community colleges and a few universities are breaking new ground by providing free non-credit options that can be turned into transferable credits, through exams that may cost less than $100. In short, the higher education financial model is breaking down.
Moreover, because leaders are convinced that spending on
“amenities,” (athletics, additional buildings, etc.) is necessary in order to
compete for residential students, they are increasing the cost of operation, at the same time their
traditional revenue sources are under pressure.
With the eighteen-year-old demographic declining in many parts of the
country, we are bound to see winners and losers, whether we look at the public
or private sphere.
Just at the time that leaders need to reframe their
thinking, they are, instead, trapped by the need to save their “brand.” (And this trap is real. I do believe that the main campus residential
program creates the institutional brand for most universities. Leaving aside political issues, alumni,
donors, and everyone else, it would be foolish in almost all situations to
close the main campus. Thus, presidents
and boards are locked into a “loss leader” as the activity on which they concentrate
their time. That’s a classic example of
why established institutions struggle in a disruptive environment.)
I hear presidents say they want growth at their branch
campuses and in their online learning programs. Unfortunately, for the most part, they invest very little of their personal time
or their political capital to get the point across to vice presidents, deans,
chairs, alumni, or others. Revenue
sharing models either do not exist or are ineffectively designed, and few
traditional educators understand the audience that chooses to enroll online or
at branches.
Bottom line:
We have the perfect context for the emergence
of new providers. If institutions lose
general education students, just as one example, it will be tough to replace that revenue, without pricing in a way that makes the competitive
situation just that much worse.
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